States see $31B of taxes disappear due to COVID recession

Revenue dropped 6 percent as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.

U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.

The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.

CORONAVIRUS IMPACT: ADDITIONAL COVERAGE

Brad Bolton is president and CEO of Community Spirit Bank in Red Bay, Alabama, and chairman of the Independent Community Bankers of America.

Christopher Ewing is the founder and Chief Strategy Officer of One Inc. A long time entrepreneur raised in Sacramento, CA, Christopher has a proven track-record building effective teams and partnerships to deliver innovative solutions to customers.

Christopher began his insurance industry career in 2003 as the President and CEO of Keenan Holdings. He also served as the CTO and General Counsel of Cost-U-Less Insurance Center, growing the company from 32 locations to more than 100. Chris was also the Co-Founder, President, and CEO of Stonewood Insurance Services, Co-Founder and CTO of ClearSide General Insurance Services, and Co-Founder, General Counsel, and Executive VP of GreenPath Insurance Company.

Christopher received his Bachelor's degree in Business Administration from the University of California, Riverside, and his Juris Doctor from University of the Pacific McGeorge School of Law.

Mark Snyder is the principal consultant and claims subject matter expert at Hi Marley. 

He is a proven leader and P&C insurance claims optimization expert with significant experience in quality management program design, insurtech and digital strategy operationalization, operational transformation, project management and training development and delivery.

Mark also has deep claims technical handling, management and auditing knowledge and skills across all major lines of business and select specialty lines.He previously held leadership positions with Ohio Casualty, Liberty Mutual, Athenium Analytics and Aon Inpoint.

The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.

boarded-up-building.jpg
A boarded up Isabel Marant store closed in the SoHo neighborhood of New York.
Bloomberg News

The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.

Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.

“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.