U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Alex Selarnick is an associate at Goodwin who advises insureds, insurers, and insurtechs, as well as their lenders and investors on a broad range of compliance, regulatory and transactional matters. Mr. Selarnick’s practice focuses on the intersection of insurance and technology, and he frequently works with clients on the legal and regulatory challenges associated with the use of technology in the insurance space. Mr. Selarnick also has extensive trade credit insurance experience, and he guides market leading supply chain and trade finance companies on the development and negotiation of international credit insurance programs.
Greg Hoffnagle is a partner in Goodwin’s Financial Industry group and Insurance practice. Mr. Hoffnagle guides insurtechs, emerging and technology companies, venture capital and private equity firms and other insurance-related service companies through cutting-edge compliance, regulatory and transactional matters.
With a particular focus on the intersection of insurance and technology, a considerable part of Mr. Hoffnagle's advisory work involves working with technology clients in creating innovative products and bringing them to market quickly, from choosing an operating structure to licensing and regulatory issues. Mr. Hoffnagle is an experienced litigator for complex insurance and reinsurance related disputes, as well as international commercial arbitrations and internal investigations. He is also a trusted advisor for companies and institutions on risk management issues and complex insurance claims.
Kristina Leach is a director of BFSI (banking, financial services and insurance) insights at Quantum Metric. As a go-to-market and industry lead, Kristina provides expertise that supports financial institutions ability to optimize the digital customer experience. Prior to joining Quantum Metric, Kristina earned her MBA at MIT Sloan School of Management and worked for Bain & Co, Fidelity Investments and MassMutual holding roles across various functions.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.