When the U.S. Congress passed its omnibus spending and COVID relief bill last month, plenty of people noted that it had a surprising amount for environmentalists to celebrate. Among the topline climate provisions: significant limits on a potent greenhouse gas found in refrigerants, new funds for wind and solar development, and an extension of the 45Q tax credit, which gives companies a tax break for capturing carbon.
There’s no doubt carbon capture is an industry in need of a jump start. If the world is going to meet its goal to keep temperature rise under 2° Celsius compared to preindustrial levels, everyone from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change to the International Energy Agency agrees the world must capture and store much more carbon than we currently do. According to the IEA, we probably need to capture between 10 percent and 20 percent of the roughly 35 billion metric tons of carbon we produce annually if we want to prevent the worst effects of climate change.
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Albalushi is a principal at the RBL Group, a consulting company specializing in strategic HR, talent management and organizational alignment. He has over a decade of GCC (Gulf Corporation Council) experience in organizational transformation, business management and business analysis. He has worked in many sectors and industries including civil service, infrastructure, information technology, oil and energy, maritime and shipping, mining and metal, investment and management consultancy. Albalushi has significant experience as an internal HR manager and is well versed in many facets of human resources. He has helped several organizations implement and roll out their HRMS systems.
Kristen Rampe, CPA, is the managing partner of Rosenberg Associates. She is a nationally known consultant to CPA firms and a frequent speaker at practice management conferences. She specializes in helping small to mid-sized firms with partner compensation, partner agreements, buyouts, strategic planning and retreats, firm governance, and leadership development. She has co-authored four books along with Marc Rosenberg, CPA, including CPA Firm Management & Governance, CPA Firm Partner Retirement/Buyout Plans, What Really Makes CPA Firms Profitable?, and The Role of the Managing Partner. She spent 10 years in public practice with Big Four powerhouse PwC and top 50 ranked Frank Rimerman in San Francisco before founding her consulting practice in 2011 and merging with Marc Rosenberg in 2022. She was named Woman to Watch by the California Society of CPAs in 2011, 40 Under 40 by CPA Practice Advisor in 2015, and Top 100 Most Influential People in Accounting by Accounting Today for several years. Kristen holds an active CPA license with the state of California. She has been featured by Fortune and Investor's Business Daily. Kristen is a graduate of Butler University.
Paige E. Pidano is a managing director and senior associate general counsel at The Clearing House Association.
Currently the world captures about 40 million tons a year — a mere tenth of 1 percent of our total annual emissions. The global carbon capture industry is so small, in fact, that the U.S., which has just a dozen commercial facilities working, is its undisputed leader.
There are many reasons why carbon capture hasn’t taken off, but the primary one is that it’s expensive, and for a long time there was no incentive for big emitters such as oil refineries or cement makers to invest in making the technology profitable. In theory, that changed in 2018, when Congress greatly expanded the 45Q tax credit to allow companies to deduct as much as $50 (up from $20) per metric ton of carbon captured and stored permanently underground.
But the expansion came with a catch: It applied only to projects that had begun construction by 2023.
Carbon capture projects are very complicated. According to the Carbon Capture Coalition (CCC), it takes about five years on average just to get permitting to begin construction.
You see the problem. In the two years since 45Q was expanded — with great expectations that it would inspire lots of new projects — none have launched. Brad Crabtree, director of CCC, said several dozen are in the development stage, but many of these are now at risk of being abandoned since COVID has depressed the oil and gas market.
So, Congress stepped in again. Not only did it extend the tax credit out to 2025, the funding bill also added about $2 billion to fund six projects to demonstrate real world operability of innovative new carbon capture technologies. Significantly, two of those are reserved for steel and cement plants, as opposed to utilities, where previous investments have led to big failures. Currently there’s only one steel plant in the world with carbon capture, in Abu Dhabi, and the first cement factory with carbon capture is set to be built in Norway.
What can taxpayers realistically hope to get from their investment? Crabtree said that it will be a good thing if roughly 30 new projects, nearly triple the country’s current capacity, become operational. While that won’t capture nearly enough carbon in the short run, it might be enough to nurture a struggling industry, much the way tax credits in the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 helped accelerate wind and solar.
“The whole point of the credit is to prove the technology works and costs can be lowered so a virtuous circle of investing and building can begin,” Crabtree said. “We can then ramp up in 2035."