Will COVID stimulus be the breakthrough carbon capture has been waiting for?

The relief bill includes an extension of the 45Q tax credit, which gives companies a tax break for capturing carbon..

When the U.S. Congress passed its omnibus spending and COVID relief bill last month, plenty of people noted that it had a surprising amount for environmentalists to celebrate. Among the topline climate provisions: significant limits on a potent greenhouse gas found in refrigerants, new funds for wind and solar development, and an extension of the 45Q tax credit, which gives companies a tax break for capturing carbon.

There’s no doubt carbon capture is an industry in need of a jump start. If the world is going to meet its goal to keep temperature rise under 2° Celsius compared to preindustrial levels, everyone from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change to the International Energy Agency agrees the world must capture and store much more carbon than we currently do. According to the IEA, we probably need to capture between 10 percent and 20 percent of the roughly 35 billion metric tons of carbon we produce annually if we want to prevent the worst effects of climate change.

CORONAVIRUS IMPACT: ADDITIONAL COVERAGE

Andrew is the founder of Planning Across the Spectrum. From his personal experience as an individual with ASD, he was inspired to create Planning Across the Spectrum to specifically work with individuals, families, and care teams of those with special needs. Andrew is a known national advocate for Autism awareness and serves on various boards and advisory committees. Andrew is CFP®, Behavioral Financial Advisor (BFA™), and Chartered Special Needs Consultant (ChSNC®) among his other designations. (He has more than Michael Kitces.)

Wiley-Sandra-Boomer Consulting

Sandra Wiley is the CEO and chief strategist of Sandra Wiley Strategies. A regular member of Accounting Today's Top 100 Most Influential People, she is a certified Kolbetrainer who advises firms on building balanced teams, managing employee conflict and hiring staff, and was previously president of Boomer Consulting. Wiley is regularly invited to speak at national conferences, and has been published by many trade journals including CPA Practice Management Report, Accounting Today, Accounting Web, The CPA Practice Management Forum, The CPA Report of South Carolina, Lagniappe of Louisiana and The Asset of Missouri Societies. Prior to joining Boomer, she worked for over 16 years in the financial services industry in the areas of human resources, marketing/sales, training, and business development. Wiley is a graduate of Friends University, in Wichita, Kansas, where she earned a bachelor's degree in Human Resource Management. She also graduated with honors from the University of Colorado School of Bank Marketing. She and her husband make their home in Manhattan, Kansas. They have three children.

wiley1.gif

Sandra Wiley, COO & Shareholder, is ranked by Accounting Today as one of the 100 most influential people in accounting as a result of her prominent role as an industry expert on HR and training as well as influence as a management and planning consultant. Sandra is a certified Kolbe™ trainer who advises firms on building balanced teams, managing employee conflict and hiring staff.Sandra directs Boomer Consulting, Inc.'s annual Talent Development Advantage and offers her services as co-director of the Performance3™ Academy Program as well as the CEO Advantage. She has been in the Strategic Coach Entrepreneurial Team Program™ for over 10 years and is responsible for communicating its concepts to clients and the Boomer staff.Sandra is regularly invited to speak at national conferences where she empowers audiences with new ideas and a sense of humor.She is a popular author who is frequently published by many trade journals including CPA Practice Management Report, Accounting Today, Accounting Web, The CPA Practice Management Forum, The CPA Report of South Carolina, Lagniappe of Louisiana and The Asset of Missouri Societies. She also contributes a regular column covering human resources to the Boomer Bulletin™ and penned an award winning marketing plan, Rebuilding the Community Bank, published by the Bank Marketing Association.

Currently the world captures about 40 million tons a year — a mere tenth of 1 percent of our total annual emissions. The global carbon capture industry is so small, in fact, that the U.S., which has just a dozen commercial facilities working, is its undisputed leader.

Smokestack
.
Luke Sharrett/Bloomberg

There are many reasons why carbon capture hasn’t taken off, but the primary one is that it’s expensive, and for a long time there was no incentive for big emitters such as oil refineries or cement makers to invest in making the technology profitable. In theory, that changed in 2018, when Congress greatly expanded the 45Q tax credit to allow companies to deduct as much as $50 (up from $20) per metric ton of carbon captured and stored permanently underground.

But the expansion came with a catch: It applied only to projects that had begun construction by 2023.

Carbon capture projects are very complicated. According to the Carbon Capture Coalition (CCC), it takes about five years on average just to get permitting to begin construction.

You see the problem. In the two years since 45Q was expanded — with great expectations that it would inspire lots of new projects — none have launched. Brad Crabtree, director of CCC, said several dozen are in the development stage, but many of these are now at risk of being abandoned since COVID has depressed the oil and gas market.

So, Congress stepped in again. Not only did it extend the tax credit out to 2025, the funding bill also added about $2 billion to fund six projects to demonstrate real world operability of innovative new carbon capture technologies. Significantly, two of those are reserved for steel and cement plants, as opposed to utilities, where previous investments have led to big failures. Currently there’s only one steel plant in the world with carbon capture, in Abu Dhabi, and the first cement factory with carbon capture is set to be built in Norway.

What can taxpayers realistically hope to get from their investment? Crabtree said that it will be a good thing if roughly 30 new projects, nearly triple the country’s current capacity, become operational. While that won’t capture nearly enough carbon in the short run, it might be enough to nurture a struggling industry, much the way tax credits in the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 helped accelerate wind and solar.

“The whole point of the credit is to prove the technology works and costs can be lowered so a virtuous circle of investing and building can begin,” Crabtree said. “We can then ramp up in 2035."