New Jersey and Florida account for almost half of the 50 U.S. counties whose housing markets are most vulnerable to the economic effects of the coronavirus, an Attom Data Solutions report said.
Attom ranked 483 counties across the country based on the percentage of housing units receiving a foreclosure notice in the fourth quarter, the number of underwater properties in each county and the percentage of local wages required to pay for major homeownership expenses.
Thirty-six of the top 50 most vulnerable counties had median home prices in the $160,000-to-$300,000 range, the report noted.
Of the 10 most vulnerable counties, six are in New Jersey, including Sussex at No. 1 and Warren at No. 2.
"It looks like the Northeast is more at risk than other areas," Todd Teta, Attom's chief product officer, said in a press release. "As we head into the spring home buying season, the next few months will reveal how severe the impact will be."
Among the New Jersey counties that would be most affected, five are in the New York metropolitan area: Bergen, Essex, Passaic, Middlesex and Union. However, of the four counties in New York that Attom considered to be most vulnerable, only Rockland was in proximity to New York City.
Matt Posner is founder and principal of CSG. Mr. Posner has more than a decade of experience in public finance and policy. He has testified before the U.S. Senate Committee on Finance on infrastructure finance problems facing the country and spent years educating staff in the U.S. House of Representatives, the U.S. Senate, the U.S. Treasury Department and the Securities and Exchange Commission on public policy and market implications. Mr. Posner has been quoted on his views and published in the Wall Street Journal, the New York Times, Bloomberg News, The Bond Buyer, the Municipal Finance Journal and the Government Finance Officers Association’s Government Finance Review, among others. Court Street Group LLC is a research and consulting firm based in Brooklyn, New York. At CSG, we build bridges among Washington, Wall Street and the Fintech worlds with strong market research and extensive, independent policy experience. CSG also has ties to Latin America and helps clients navigate there.
Patrick McCoy is the Director of Finance at the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA) in New York where he manages the Authority's debt portfolio (currently $35 billion) and directs the issuance of over $2 billion in tax-exempt municipal bonds annually under the Authority's multi credit borrowing structure. The MTA is an active issuer of debt obligations to finance the bond funded portion of MTA's Capital Program. Pat has previously served as the Executive Director of the New York City Municipal Water Finance Authority, a public benefit corporation of the City of New York that provides capital financing for the City's water and sewer system. Pat was Executive Director of New York Water from January 2007 through August 2008.Previous positions include:Deputy Director of Finance for the MTA, 2002 through 2004, and Director of Finance, 2004 — 2007.Manager of Investor Relations for the NewPower Company, a publicly traded retail energy provider headquartered in Purchase, New York. Mr. McCoy was involved in NewPower's initial public offering and listing on the New York Stock Exchange. 2001 — 2001.Manager of Investor Relations for the New York City Municipal Water Finance Authority, the Transitional Finance Authority (TFA) and TSASC, Inc. (Tobacco Securitization), 1994 — 2000. Pat created the first investor relations program for the Authority.Senior Budget Analyst, Office of Management and Budget, Community Development Unit. 1991 — 1994.Pat currently serves on the Board of Directors of the Westchester County Health Care Corporation and on the Executive Board of the Government Finance Officer'sAssociation of the United States and Canada (GFOA).Pat holds a M.S. Degree in Urban Policy Analysis and Management from the New School University in New York, and a B.A. from St. Ambrose University in Davenport, Iowa.
For New York City proper, all five boroughs were in the middle of the list: Staten Island was ranked 161, Queens was 271, Manhattan at 312, Brooklyn at 320 and the Bronx was 327.
Most of the Florida counties considered at risk are in the northern and central portions of the state. But Broward County, which includes Fort Lauderdale, is also on that list.
There were four counties in the metro Chicago area on the list were Kane, Lake, McHenry and Will in Illinois. Cook County, which includes Chicago proper, is ranked 53rd most vulnerable.
Meanwhile, the only California county on the 50 most vulnerable list is Shasta. Los Angeles County was No. 276. The Bay Area counties were also in the bottom half of the list.
At the other end of the spectrum, 10 of the counties where the housing market is least vulnerable to the coronavirus are in Texas. Seven are in Wisconsin and there are five in Colorado.
King County in Washington, where Seattle is located, was the 20th least vulnerable county according to Attom.
