Payrolls fell sharply in December, as the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday that employment declined by 140,000 jobs amid the continuing economic fallout from the novel coronavirus pandemic. Nevertheless, the accounting and bookkeeping sector added 2,300 jobs last month.
The unemployment rate remained at 6.7 percent despite the job cuts, which were the steepest since last April. The BLS revised upward the figures for both October and November, with the October figures going up by 44,000, from a gain of 610,000 jobs to a gain of 654,000. The change for November was revised upward by 91,000 jobs, from a gain of 245,000 jobs to a gain of 336,000. With those revisions, employment in October and November combined was 135,000 more than previously reported. Therefore, the loss of 140,000 jobs in December seems even more dramatic, although those figures are likely to be revised as well.
Paul is a partner in the Washington, D.C. office of Bracewell.� Paul’s career has intertwined with the SEC’s regulation of the municipal market from the very beginning, when as a young lawyer in the SEC’s Division of Enforcement he participated in preparing the SEC’s September 1977 and 1979 Staff Reports on New York City.� After practice as a securities, project finance, and bond lawyer in New York and Boston, �Paul returned to the SEC in 1994 to work for Chairman Levitt and serve as the first Director of the SEC’s Office of Municipal Securities. During that time, he participated in drafting the continuing disclosure amendments to Rule 15c2-12, oversaw SEC activity relating to Orange County California and advised the Commission on institution and settlement of over 100 enforcement actions in the municipal securities market.�Today, Paul defends states, local governments, and their officials, brokers, dealers, municipal securities dealers, municipal advisors, and their officers and employees, as well as individuals in investigations and enforcement proceedings by the SEC, Department of Justice, FINRA, and states Attorneys General.� Paul also serves as Counsel to a NRSRO, or Rating Agency, on regulatory and enforcement matters.� He advises clients on compliance with SEC and MSRB regulations, and corporate governance matters, conducts internal investigations, and serves as special disclosure counsel in securities transactions.Paul received the "Chairman's Award for Excellence" for his work in developing the amendments to Rule 15c2-12, while at the SEC, and received "The National Federation of Municipal Analysts�Industry Contribution Award" in 2001. Paul is listed in The Best Lawyers in America� in securities law, 2005 - 2010; in corporate governance and compliance law, 2006 -�2010;�and public finance law, 2005�- 2010.� Additionally, he is listed in Who's Who and What's What on Wall Street, Who's Who in America, Who's Who in American Law,The Lawdragon 500 Leading Lawyers in America 2005 edition, and Washington D.C. Super Lawyers 2007 for securities and corporate finance.Paul is frequently interviewed and quoted as an authority on securities regulation in international news media including The National, FTSE Global Markets, BBC News, The Business Times Singapore, and The Singapore American, as well as U.S. media, including The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg News, the Associated Press, Reuters, and The Bond Buyer.
Jeff Curie is the President of Bitvore Corp., a provider of A.I.-based products that identify risk and opportunity for professionals in the municipal bond, banking and insurance industries.
Maikki Frisk is Mobey Forum's executive director.
In December, job losses in leisure and hospitality and in private education were partially offset by gains in professional and business services, retail trade, and construction. Average hourly earnings increased 23 cents to $29.81. The leisure and hospitality industry lost 498,000 jobs, with three-quarters of the declines in food services and drinking places, which lost 372,000 jobs. Since February, employment in leisure and hospitality is down by 3.9 million, or 23.2 percent.
Separately, CBIZ, a Top 100 Firm based in Cleveland, released its own monthly Small Business Employment Index, which showed a slight increase in small business hiring of 0.32 percent in December. Hiring declined a bit in the Central U.S. by 0.15 percent but rose in the Northeast by 1.18 percent, the Southeast by 1 percent and the West by 0.44 percent. There were increases for states that opened up from lockdowns on or before May 15 of 0.97 percent and states that opened up from lockdowns after May 15 of 0.23 percent.
While some industries tracked by CBIZ increased their hiring, growth did not occur across the board. Hiring increased in healthcare, financial services, real estate, nonprofits and retail trade, yet decreased in technology and life sciences, transportation, and accommodation and food services. The negative trend in accommodation and food services could be due to renewed COVID-19 restrictions.
“Obviously we are in a bit of a transitional period as the cases of coronavirus surge back up, and you’ve got significant population centers starting to lock down again,” said CBIZ executive vice president Philip Noftsinger. “In terms of the labor market, you may be bending that arc back toward either a declining labor market or a reduction. Ironically the CBIZ number went in the other direction. I don’t have a perfect answer for that, other than there are small businesses all over the country that are significant employment centers that are in larger areas that may be under lockdown, so perhaps that’s got a little bit to do with it.”
The incoming Biden administration will be inheriting multiple challenges with the economy, the pandemic and a sharply divided populace. “I’ll be interested to see as the transfer of power occurs what is our immediate response and how do we chart a different course to try to solve these problems for the country,” said Noftsinger.
Jobs for accounting professionals still seem to be in demand, despite some declines last year in the BLS data. “Professional services tend to be a bit more resilient if you’ve got a beta factor for the overall labor market,” said Noftsinger. “They have a lower beta factor.”
