Growth in small business jobs and wages declined last month as a result of the novel coronavirus pandemic, according to payroll giant Paychex.
The latest Paychex | IHS Markit Small Business Employment Watch report, released Friday, indicates the impact of the increasing number of COVID-19 cases on small businesses in the U.S. The Jobs Index exhibited a slowing of 0.24 percent in December to 94.06, a decline of 4.18 percent from the previous year. A decrease in weekly hours worked, and the deceleration of hourly earnings growth to 2.63 percent, brought national weekly earnings growth to 2.42 percent.
Amy Carlisle is president of MSI, an independent managing general agency (MGA) in the United States.
Deborah "Deb" Dioguardi is Executive Vice President and Professional Lines National Practice Leader at Jencap, where she drives the growth and strategic direction of the firm's management liability, professional liability, and cyber liability practice. A highly respected wholesale broker, industry leader, and recognized thought leader, Deb has dedicated her entire 25+ year career to Jencap, building a reputation as one of the foremost experts in professional lines insurance. Her contributions to the industry have earned national recognition, including the 2023 ACORD Women's Insurance Advancement Award and a place on Insurance Business America's 2025 Hot 100 list. Deb holds a bachelor's degree from the New York Institute of Technology and currently serves on the Board of Directors for the Insurance Brokers Association of New York (IBANY).
Kelly Grace, director, advisory – ECS – motor fuels and excise tax at Weaver, has more than 14 years of experience in professional accounting with a focus on complex fuel excise and sales and use tax matters, with experience building, testing, and implementing tax logic for Avalara, IGen, Sabrix, SAP and Right Angle. She is well-versed in planning and directing federal and state motor fuel and sales tax audits. She manages co-sourcing tax compliance projects for companies in all 50 states and researches and advises clients (refineries, fuel terminals, pipeline operators, retail stations, end users) on new and updated state and federal tax laws affecting clients' businesses. She is a CPA in Pennsylvania, a member of the Pennsylvania Institute of CPAs, the Pennsylvania Bar and the Federation of Tax Administrations, Motor Fuel Sections. She earned her bachelor of science in accounting and economics from the University of Delaware and her Juris Doctorate from the Temple University Beasley School of Law.
“This month we saw a decline in the overall index again, which is consistent with what we’ve been seeing for quite some time,” Frank Fiorille, vice president of risk management, compliance and data analytics at Paychex.
Like the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics jobs report that was also released Friday, Paychex found similar declines in the leisure and hospitality sector due to shutdowns from the COVID-19 pandemic (see story). “If you eliminate that sector, the [Paychex] report was actually fairly positive,” said Fiorille. “I think that’s pretty consistent with the nonfarm payroll report. The Friday jobs report just came out and for the first time since April, it was negative.”
The South was the only region of the country to improve job growth in December, increasing 0.04 percent). Fiorille attributed that to having looser restrictions on businesses being open than in other parts of the country. Florida regained its position as the top-ranked state for small business job growth, up 0.28 percent with an index of 97.00. Tennessee improved 0.76 percent in December and is up 1.01 percent in the fourth quarter, ranking it best among states. Houston and Dallas had the best three-month employment growth rates among metropolitan areas. Construction led the way on the industry jobs index for the eighth consecutive month compared to other industries. Financial activities had the best weekly hours worked growth among the various sectors.
Hourly earnings growth slowed for the fifth month in a row, from a peak of 3.29 percent in June to 2.63 percent in December. Weekly earnings growth slowed to 2.42 percent, the lowest level since February 2019. Weekly hours worked growth slowed for the fifth straight month to negative 0.27 percent in December.
“On the wage front we’re seeing a little bit of an uptick there,” said Fiorille. “We think the reason there is that on Jan. 1, a lot of states and areas went to a minimum wage increase. We saw a lot of clients get ahead of that last month, so you’re seeing an uptick in that first quintile, that lower-wage sector.”
The stimulus package that was signed into law at the end of December could help some struggling small businesses, especially with the fresh round of $284 billion in funding for the Paycheck Protection Program. The legislation also includes a provision allowing businesses to deduct the expenses associated with seeking loan forgiveness, which could make it easier for them to engage accountants to help with the loan application and forgiveness process.
On Friday, the Small Business Administration and the Treasury Department announced that the PPP would re-open Monday, Jan. 11 for new borrowers and some existing PPP borrowers. Initially only community financial institutions will be able to make “First Draw PPP Loans” on Monday and “Second Draw PPP Loans” on Wednesday. The PPP will open to all participating lenders shortly after that.
“That’s really good news given that this thing just got passed, and a lot of people thought it was going to take weeks given how the first thing came out,” said Fiorille. “It’s nice that they got the guidance out pretty quick.”
In combination with the extension of Employee Retention Tax Credits, the latest round of PPP funding could help many small businesses survive this year. “There’s a lot of stuff that’s going to help prop up the small businesses,” said Fiorille. “It’s very targeted to the mom-and-pop Main Street businesses.”
