Growth in small business jobs and wages declined last month as a result of the novel coronavirus pandemic, according to payroll giant Paychex.
The latest Paychex | IHS Markit Small Business Employment Watch report, released Friday, indicates the impact of the increasing number of COVID-19 cases on small businesses in the U.S. The Jobs Index exhibited a slowing of 0.24 percent in December to 94.06, a decline of 4.18 percent from the previous year. A decrease in weekly hours worked, and the deceleration of hourly earnings growth to 2.63 percent, brought national weekly earnings growth to 2.42 percent.
Patrick McCoy is the Director of Finance at the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA) in New York where he manages the Authority's debt portfolio (currently $35 billion) and directs the issuance of over $2 billion in tax-exempt municipal bonds annually under the Authority's multi credit borrowing structure. The MTA is an active issuer of debt obligations to finance the bond funded portion of MTA's Capital Program. Pat has previously served as the Executive Director of the New York City Municipal Water Finance Authority, a public benefit corporation of the City of New York that provides capital financing for the City's water and sewer system. Pat was Executive Director of New York Water from January 2007 through August 2008.Previous positions include:Deputy Director of Finance for the MTA, 2002 through 2004, and Director of Finance, 2004 — 2007.Manager of Investor Relations for the NewPower Company, a publicly traded retail energy provider headquartered in Purchase, New York. Mr. McCoy was involved in NewPower's initial public offering and listing on the New York Stock Exchange. 2001 — 2001.Manager of Investor Relations for the New York City Municipal Water Finance Authority, the Transitional Finance Authority (TFA) and TSASC, Inc. (Tobacco Securitization), 1994 — 2000. Pat created the first investor relations program for the Authority.Senior Budget Analyst, Office of Management and Budget, Community Development Unit. 1991 — 1994.Pat currently serves on the Board of Directors of the Westchester County Health Care Corporation and on the Executive Board of the Government Finance Officer'sAssociation of the United States and Canada (GFOA).Pat holds a M.S. Degree in Urban Policy Analysis and Management from the New School University in New York, and a B.A. from St. Ambrose University in Davenport, Iowa.
Leslie M. Norwood is Managing Director and Associate General Counsel of the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association. She has served the Association or its predecessor organizations for over 10 years. As the Co-Head of the Municipal Securities Division, Ms. Norwood is responsible for the legal, regulatory and market practice initiatives of the Association relating to all municipal securities products.Prior to joining the Association, Ms. Norwood was an Associate in the Corporate and Securities department at Greenberg Traurig. She also spent 6 years as an Associate in the Public Finance department of Sidley Austin LLP (formerly known as Brown & Wood LLP) where she represented bond issuers, borrowers and underwriters in fixed and variable rate transactions; general obligation, subject to appropriation and revenue bond (public power, education, health care and cultural institutions) transactions; and transactions with credit enhancement. Ms. Norwood received a B.A. from the University of California, Berkeley and her J.D. from Boston University School of Law. She is a member of the New York, New Jersey and California Bars.
“This month we saw a decline in the overall index again, which is consistent with what we’ve been seeing for quite some time,” Frank Fiorille, vice president of risk management, compliance and data analytics at Paychex.
Like the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics jobs report that was also released Friday, Paychex found similar declines in the leisure and hospitality sector due to shutdowns from the COVID-19 pandemic (see story). “If you eliminate that sector, the [Paychex] report was actually fairly positive,” said Fiorille. “I think that’s pretty consistent with the nonfarm payroll report. The Friday jobs report just came out and for the first time since April, it was negative.”
The South was the only region of the country to improve job growth in December, increasing 0.04 percent). Fiorille attributed that to having looser restrictions on businesses being open than in other parts of the country. Florida regained its position as the top-ranked state for small business job growth, up 0.28 percent with an index of 97.00. Tennessee improved 0.76 percent in December and is up 1.01 percent in the fourth quarter, ranking it best among states. Houston and Dallas had the best three-month employment growth rates among metropolitan areas. Construction led the way on the industry jobs index for the eighth consecutive month compared to other industries. Financial activities had the best weekly hours worked growth among the various sectors.
Hourly earnings growth slowed for the fifth month in a row, from a peak of 3.29 percent in June to 2.63 percent in December. Weekly earnings growth slowed to 2.42 percent, the lowest level since February 2019. Weekly hours worked growth slowed for the fifth straight month to negative 0.27 percent in December.
“On the wage front we’re seeing a little bit of an uptick there,” said Fiorille. “We think the reason there is that on Jan. 1, a lot of states and areas went to a minimum wage increase. We saw a lot of clients get ahead of that last month, so you’re seeing an uptick in that first quintile, that lower-wage sector.”
The stimulus package that was signed into law at the end of December could help some struggling small businesses, especially with the fresh round of $284 billion in funding for the Paycheck Protection Program. The legislation also includes a provision allowing businesses to deduct the expenses associated with seeking loan forgiveness, which could make it easier for them to engage accountants to help with the loan application and forgiveness process.
On Friday, the Small Business Administration and the Treasury Department announced that the PPP would re-open Monday, Jan. 11 for new borrowers and some existing PPP borrowers. Initially only community financial institutions will be able to make “First Draw PPP Loans” on Monday and “Second Draw PPP Loans” on Wednesday. The PPP will open to all participating lenders shortly after that.
“That’s really good news given that this thing just got passed, and a lot of people thought it was going to take weeks given how the first thing came out,” said Fiorille. “It’s nice that they got the guidance out pretty quick.”
In combination with the extension of Employee Retention Tax Credits, the latest round of PPP funding could help many small businesses survive this year. “There’s a lot of stuff that’s going to help prop up the small businesses,” said Fiorille. “It’s very targeted to the mom-and-pop Main Street businesses.”
