Tax advisory firms took a projected $3 billion hit on their revenues around the world last year because of the coronavirus pandemic, according to a new report.
The report, from Source Global Research, estimates that revenues contracted over 9 percent in 2020 due to the pandemic. Some parts of the world fared better than others. In the U.S., the $16.3 billion market for tax advisory services grew 7 percent in 2019, but in 2020 the report estimated a decline of 13 percent. The U.K. market contracted even more, by 21 percent. On the other hand, Australia saw 4 percent growth.
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Doug Duncan is the chief economist at Fannie Mae.
Allan Koltin, CPA, CGMA, is the CEO of Koltin Consulting Group, a Chicago-based consulting firm that specializes in working with professional and financial services firms in the areas of practice growth, practice management, human capital, and mergers and acquisitions. A nationally recognized speaker and industry analyst, Allan has appeared on the CNN, WGN and Fox Television networks and has been quoted frequently in such media as the Wall Street Journal, New York Times, Washington Post, Chicago Tribune, Los Angeles Times, USA Today and New York Post, as well as Bloomberg News, BBC World Service, Business Week, Forbes and Reuters. He has also spoken nationally and internationally at hundreds of conferences including those held by the AICPA, international CPA associations and state CPA societies.For twelve consecutive years, Allan has been named by Accounting Today as one of the Top 100 Most Influential People in the accounting profession. Koltin was also voted one of the 10 Most Recommended Consultants, for the seventh straight year, in the “Annual Survey of Firms” conducted by INSIDE Public Accounting. In 2012, Allan was named by CPA Practice Advisor as one of the Top 25 Thought Leaders in the profession. He was one of the first inducted into the Accounting Marketing Hall of Fame by the Association for Accounting Marketing (AAM). He has also been a recipient of the NACVA Instructor of the Year Award and winner of the Journal of Accountancy Literacy Award. Previously he was recognized by the Illinois CPA Society with the Distinguished Service Award for outstanding service and commitment to the profession. Koltin is the author-editor of three books for professional services firms: CPA Firm Merger Strategies That Work, CPAs That Sell and the AICPA’s Marketing a Consulting Niche. He is a founding member of The Advisory Board, a think tank for the accounting profession, and has served on various advisory boards, including Outsource Partners International (OPI), the Association for Accounting Marketing (AAM), the National Association of Certified Valuation Analysts (NACVA) and H&R Block (HRB Business Services). Previously, Allan was the President and CEO of PDI, Global, Inc. which was the largest publisher of marketing newsletters for professional services firms. Allan originally sold PDI Global to H&R Block in 1998, buying it back in 2008, and then selling it again to Thomson Reuters in 2011. Prior to that, Allan was a Senior Partner in the Chicago-based accounting and consulting firm of FERS, where he served as the leader of the Investment Banking Group, as well as the Law Firm Consulting Group. At age 27, Allan had the distinction of being named the youngest partner in the history of the firm and was also a member of the firm’s Executive Committee. FERS was acquired by H&R Block in 1998. Allan attended both the University of Wisconsin – Madison and the University of Wisconsin – Milwaukee and received degrees in accounting and marketing. He lives in Chicago with his wife, Sharon, and his three children, Jack, Brian and Julia. His passion is facilitating retreats and providing coaching for firm leadership and partners. His specialties include strategy, governance, profitability, compensation, growth, human capital, and mergers and acquisitions.
Despite the slump, demand for tax advisory services has held up better than many other areas of the overall professional services market. The global management consulting market shrank 13 percent to $21 billion. The report predicts the global tax advisory market will recover soon, with a growth rate of 7 percent anticipated.
The COVID-19 pandemic has reshaped the tax advisory market, stalling M&A activity and international tax work. M&A-driven tax work declined 21 percent last year, reducing total revenues from $1.6 billion to $1.3 billion. In contrast, compliance-related tax management fared comparatively well last year, even though clients initially tried to do more of their work in-house, with only a 5 percent contraction in revenues tied to efforts to shore up cash reserves by taking advantage of tax deferrals and other government support schemes.
“The pandemic has radically reshaped priorities, with many different concerns all vying for space at the top of the corporate agenda,” said Source Global Research managing director Fiona Czerniawska in a statement Monday. “Finance and tax functions are having to balance the demands of tax compliance with the ability to respond to new and unprecedented risks. That balancing act saw attempts to reduce reliance on external support early in the crisis, only for demand to recover as clients recognized that they lacked the capacity and/or capability to carry out compliance work by themselves.”
Some tax firms report greater demand for their services. “We’re seeing lots of requests for compliance services, which is driven by the fact that many clients just weren’t prepared for this,” said Ryan LLC chairman and CEO Brint Ryan in a statement.
When it comes to clients in different sectors of the economy, tax advisory work in the energy sector declined 23 percent, in the manufacturing industry by 10 percent, in the services sector by 18 percent, and in the technology, media and telecommunications sector by 18 percent. However, much of the decline in that sector seems to be due to media clients, and the high-tech and telecom industries experienced significant growth of 22 percent and 16 percent respectively. Tax advisory work in the insurance industry grew 4 percent. The pharmaceutical and health care sectors saw growth in tax advisory work of 19 percent and 4 percent, respectively. Regulation is becoming an increasingly significant issue in all of those industries and sectors, and is making itself felt through increasing demand for compliance-related support.
For those tax advisory firms that do win work, fee rates are coming under increasing pressure, which will present even more of a challenge throughout this year. Only 3 percent of the clients surveyed in March 2020, before the pandemic had truly taken hold, anticipated that fee rates would fall across the industry; however, by September, that had risen to over 60 percent. While the pandemic itself is undoubtedly the main driver of this pressure on fees, it’s also a consequence both of the growing demand for compliance work which, while complex, isn’t an expensive, highly specialized service, and clients’ belief that a wider range of tax services have been similarly commodified.
The market is expected to recover this year, with growth likely to be focused in specific areas. The continuing pressure on organizations’ own in-house tax functions will probably contribute to growth in compliance-related work. The Source report found that once the crisis is over, the area of tax where clients are most likely to increase their use of outside support is compliance (70 percent of those surveyed predicted they would increase the use of third parties for doing this work). There’s also likely to be a resurgence in M&A-related tax work, as many of those surveyed anticipate the prolonged crisis will lead to an increase in restructuring and transactions.
“We anticipate a higher uptick [in tax work associated with M&A] because the pandemic has caused executives around the world to reflect on what it is they’re trying to achieve within their business,” said Lisa Stott, global lead for tax advisory services at Deloitte, in a statement. “They’re reflecting on whether they have the right strategies, and how to introduce resilience into their business so they can cope more effectively if anything like this happens again. Therefore, a lot of clients are already making decisions about divestments, expansions and acquisitions to make their supply chains more resilient.”
