It’s no secret that, for years, health care costs have been on the rise, reflecting a massive burden for employers and employees alike.
According to the Kaiser Family Foundation, the average premium for employer-sponsored family coverage has increased approximately 54 percent since 2009. In 2019, the average annual premium for employer-sponsored health insurance was $7,188 for single coverage — a 4 percent increase over the prior year. For family coverage, the average premium rose 5 percent in 2019 to $20,576.
Now, in the wake of COVID-19, that cost could be exacerbated, as health plans look for ways to recoup the cost of mass testing and widespread treatment. For example, in New York, insurers originally sought a near-12 percent rate hike to health plans. The state government stepped in to quash that plan, instead opting for only a marginal hike, but that’s just for 2021. In 2022 and beyond, health care costs have the potential to soar.
Lanie Raphael is president at B. F. Saul Insurance, where she leads client service, business development, financial strategy, and team growth. She brings over 30 years of experience in commercial and high-net-worth insurance, with past executive roles at Fireman's Fund, AIG, and ACE Private Risk Services. Her background spans risk management, operations, marketing, and product development. Lanie is known for her hands-on leadership and focus on building strong client relationships.
Brooksley Born is the former chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
Prof. Johnson is the Ronald A. Kurtz (1954) Professor of Entrepreneurship at the MIT Sloan School of Management. He is also a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington, D.C., a co-founder of BaselineScenario.com (a much cited website on the global economy), a member of the Congressional Budget Office's Panel of Economic Advisers, and a member of the FDIC's Systemic Resolution Advisory Committee. He is also a member of the private sector systemic risk council founded and chaired by Sheila Bair in 2012. Prof. Johnson is a weekly contributor to NYT.com's Economix, is a regular Bloomberg columnist, has a monthly article with Project Syndicate that runs in publications around the world, and has published high impact opinion pieces recently in The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, The Atlantic, The New Republic, BusinessWeek and The Financial Times, among other places. In January 2010, he joined The Huffington Post as contributing business editor. Professor Johnson is the co-author, with James Kwak, of 13 Bankers: The Wall Street Takeover and The Next Financial Meltdown, a bestselling assessment of the dangers now posed by the U.S. financial sector (published March 2010) and White House Burning: The Founding Fathers, Our National Debt and Why it Matters to You (April 2012). In his roles as a professor, research fellow and author, Professor Johnson's speaking engagements include paid appearances before various business groups, including financial institutions and other companies, as well before other groups that may have a political agenda. He is not on the board of any company, does not currently serve as a consultant to anyone, and does not work as an expert witness or conduct sponsored research. His investment portfolio comprises cash and broadly diversified mutual funds; he does not trade stocks, bonds, derivatives or other financial products actively. From March 2007 through the end of August 2008, Prof. Johnson was the International Monetary Fund's Economic Counselor (chief economist) and Director of its Research Department. He is a co-director of the NBER Africa Project, and works with nonprofits and think tanks around the world. Johnson holds a B.A. in economics and politics from the University of Oxford, an M.A. in economics from the University of Manchester, and a Ph.D. in economics from MIT. He won the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2024.
So, if an even bigger health care premium crunch is coming, is there any way for taxpayers to find some relief? Potentially.
Last year, President Donald Trump issued Executive Order 13877, which directed the Internal Revenue Service on how to treat certain types of health plan arrangements. This year, the IRS responded by issuing proposed regulations. These new regulations included guidance for two alternate health care strategies — direct primary care, or DPC, arrangements and health care sharing ministries, or HCSMs. Under the proposed regulations, amounts paid for DPC arrangements and HCSMs are treated as deductible medical expenses. And that just may be the key to unlocking the respite many taxpayers desperately need.
What are DPC arrangements and HCSMs?
Before ditching traditional health insurance plans, taxpayers first need to understand how DPC arrangements and HCSMs work. Because these arrangements can take on a variety of forms, they will need to inquire about specific eligibility requirements and any limitations on the types of health services covered.
Under DPC arrangements, a patient contracts with their doctor for the provision of typical primary care services (e.g., preventative care, annual checkups, laboratory tests, etc.). Fees are usually fixed and paid on an annual or monthly basis (a typical monthly fee for a DPC arrangement is around $100), and in some cases doctors may charge an additional visit fee when services are performed. Obviously, this would be far more affordable than traditional health plans; however, many patients that pursue DPC arrangements also enroll in a high-deductible health plan to cover visits to specialists, urgent care or hospitals.
HCSMs are organizations whose members share medical expenses in accordance with a common set of ethical or religious beliefs, thus creating a cost-burden sharing system. According to the Alliance of Health Care Sharing Ministries, 1.5 million Americans are active members of an HCSM, and to date, the Department of Health and Human Services has certified 108 HCSMs.
That doesn’t mean it’s a slam dunk option for everyone, though. Proposed regulations lay out some detailed criteria that a group has to meet to gain HCSM status. For example, the organization has to have been in existence at all times since Dec. 31, 1999, and medical expenses of its members must have been shared continuously and without interruption since at least that date. It also must conduct an annual audit that’s performed by an independent CPA firm in accordance with GAAP, and have that audit made available to the public upon request. But if an organization can check all those boxes, it raises some intriguing options for some taxpayers that may be looking to save money during these uncertain times.
The grey area
While some of these options may seem enticing, they won’t be ideal for every taxpayer. For example, it appears that the IRS suspects its definition of a DPC arrangement may be limiting. Therefore, the agency is requesting comments on whether to expand the definition to include contracts with nurse practitioners, clinical nurse specialists or physician assistants who provide primary care services. Also, the IRS is requesting comments on whether other medical arrangements that don’t meet the definition of direct primary care (e.g., dental care or certain specialty services) should be included.
Meanwhile, the biggest disadvantage of HCSMs is inconsistent health coverage. HCSMs aren’t required to cover pre-existing conditions, cap out-of-pocket expenses or cover essential health benefits. They also can impose annual and lifetime benefit caps. In addition, because they’re based on common ethical or religious beliefs, HCSMs may require their members to abstain from certain activities. For some, this may seem too restrictive.
What’s more, if a taxpayer wants to take advantage of a health savings account, taking part in a DPC arrangement would limit, or in an HCSM’s case, outright preclude an employee from contributing to that HSA, which can offer substantial tax benefits.
The jury’s out
As health care costs continue to soar, some taxpayers will undoubtedly want to consider health care alternatives, but tax pros will have to weigh all the pros and cons before suggesting an alternative. Depending on the taxpayer’s circumstances, a DPC arrangement or an HCSM could either be a great fit or a square peg in a round hole. Preparers can help determine which category — if any — is right for their clients.