On election night, Democratic campaign consultants may have been wondering, “Where did all these voters come from?” But unless the next Congress sets a legislative course over the next few months, Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi may soon be wondering, “Where did all the voters go?”
The incoming Biden administration will need to navigate an extremely rough economic path ahead. Congress has struggled to reach an agreement for another round of stimulus to provide emergency relief for families and businesses. Now they must act before the “dark winter” ahead further deteriorates the economic recovery.
Dan McAllister was elected San Diego County’s Treasurer-Tax Collector in November 2002 and re-elected to his fourth term in June 2014 by an overwhelming 99% majority of the vote. Not only is he responsible for the collection of more than $5.5 billion in property taxes each year, but his office also manages the Investment Pool which reached an all-time high of $10.1 billion in April of 2016, ensuring that these funds are wisely invested and safeguarded for entities such as the school districts and cities in the County.� Since assuming office, he has worked extensively to improve customer service, enhance communications and outreach initiatives, and has made numerous operational improvements. He is also a strong advocate for diversity.� This is reflected in his staff, which encompasses professionals from all walks of life and backgrounds. His office now delivers service in 16 different languages.Dan also serves as a member of the San Diego County Employees Retirement Association, which manages more than $10 billion of investments. Additionally, he is a former chairman of the Board of Directors of the internationally recognized San Diego Convention Center Corporation.� Prior to his election as San Diego County Treasurer-Tax Collector, Dan was a successful financial consultant and investment broker.Dan contributes considerable time and resources to community service, such as serving as Chair of the San Diego Unified School District’s Special Audit and Finance Committee and is a participating member of the Boards of Directors of the Jackie Robinson YMCA; Habitat for Humanity, San Diego; and New Americans Museum, San Diego. �McAllister’s strong commitment and involvement in the community dates back to his service as a U.S. Peace Corps volunteer in the Western Pacific country of Micronesia.A second-generation San Diegan, Dan holds a Bachelor’s degree (BA) from CaliforniaStateUniversity, Fresno, and a Master’s degree in Business Administration (MBA) from United StatesInternationalUniversity. He has also completed executive education programs in portfolio concepts and management at StanfordUniversity and the University of Pennsylvania’s WhartonSchool.
Mark Gongloff is an editor at Bloomberg News.
Ale Brown is founder and principal consultant at Kirke Management Consulting. She started her career as an IT professional working for large corporations such as Procter & Gamble and Johnson & Johnson. She also ventured into the entrepreneurial world working for boutique consulting firms when she moved to Vancouver. Her specialties at the time were the implementation and management of ERP systems and customer relationship management (CRM) strategies.
During her last corporate job with J&J, she partnered with various commercial groups in the organization, providing IT solutions in the area of sales force effectiveness and digital marketing. This is when she was thoroughly exposed to the world of privacy and data management.
Brown founded Kirke Management Consulting in 2014, with the goal to help organizations excel in their business objectives by finding opportunities for growth, while at the same time managing risks that could prevent their success. For more information, visit www.kirke-consulting.com or contact contact@kirke-consulting.com.
Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of goods and services produced across the economy, decreased at an annual rate of 32.9 percent in the second quarter of 2020, followed by a surged of 33.1 percent in the third quarter, in part due to earlier rounds of fiscal stimulus when businesses were offered Economic Injury Disaster Loans and forgivable Paycheck Protection Program loans, and individuals received direct payments and extended unemployment benefits.
Economic experts believe the current surge is not enough to stop continued losses incurred by various segments of economy.
“While the strong bounce back in activity from the initial devastation of COVID-19 was heartening, the recovery thus far has been highly uneven, and the path ahead is highly uncertain,” said Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard in a speech last month at the Society of Professional Economists annual online conference.
This highly uneven and uncertain bounce indicates the prospect of a K-shaped recovery, where some sectors continue to recover, while others see a steady decline.
The new stimulus package must focus on the sectors facing difficulties ahead to avoid colossal damage and massive layoffs.
According to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, approximately 4 million small businesses — 13 percent of America’s 31 million smallest employers — have now exhausted their PPP loans, and many face permanent closure without further assistance.
According to the National Restaurant Association, the restaurant industry will lose $240 billion. U.S airlines may be forced to furlough 75,000 pilots, flight attendants, mechanics and other workers by the end of 2020 if Congress doesn’t act.
States and municipalities are now on verge of extreme shortfalls due to declines in tax revenues and rises in additional costs. Local governments that fund and operate public school systems will need more funding. “The average school district will face $1.8 million, or $485 per student, in additional costs for disinfectants, personal protective equipment and other preparations to bring students into classrooms this year,” according to the Association of School Business Officials.
The Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances indicates that cash-strained households will continue to suffer as a result of continued unemployment and reduced working hours. The CARES Act did support these households either through direct payments or enhanced unemployment benefits this year, but the financial security of these households will depend on whether unemployment benefits will be extended or supplemented next year.
Therefore, it is imperative for Congress to ensure that the recovery reaches those who have been disproportionately affected. A targeted fiscal support can turn a K-shaped recovery into a broad-based, inclusive recovery to eliminate shortfalls in employment and provide a better outcome overall.
