On election night, Democratic campaign consultants may have been wondering, “Where did all these voters come from?” But unless the next Congress sets a legislative course over the next few months, Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi may soon be wondering, “Where did all the voters go?”
The incoming Biden administration will need to navigate an extremely rough economic path ahead. Congress has struggled to reach an agreement for another round of stimulus to provide emergency relief for families and businesses. Now they must act before the “dark winter” ahead further deteriorates the economic recovery.
Tom Benton, Partner at ReSource Pro is an industry thought leader with experience as an insurance CIO and as an industry analyst and consultant. Tom leverages his experience to help insurers prepare for and implement strategic transformation initiatives. Tom also advises insurance technology providers on how to better align with industry needs and trends.
Tom's passion is to help insurers and their technology providers develop strategic plans to successfully implement innovative solutions for improving customer experience, reducing risks, and increasing operational efficiency. Tom has over 20 years of experience directing successful IT strategies at numerous organizations, including as CIO at an insurance carrier and as CIO / CTO at non-profit organizations. He also has nearly 10 years of experience providing advisory and consulting services to insurers and insurance technology providers, including major core systems vendors, IT services providers, and insurtech startups. Tom's expertise includes IT capability assessment, IT strategic plan development, transformation preparedness, customer experience, and vendor selection.
Prior to joining Strategy Meets Action, Tom served as VP of Research and Consulting at Novarica, Chief Information Officer at Navy Mutual and CIO/CTO at two major nonprofits in the Washington, DC area. He holds a master's degree from MIT and a bachelor's degree from Cornell University.
Tom has contributed to numerous industry reports and insurance publications and has been a frequent speaker at industry conferences and webinars.
Eric Zimmerman leads the behavior design and consumer engagement practices at RedBrick Health, a Minneapolis-based health engagement company that helps employers deliver higher performing well-being benefits. Learn more at: https://home.redbrickhealth.com or email Eric at: ezimmerman@redbrickhealth.com
Derek Carter is chief operating officer of Ceterus, a developer of cloud-based accounting and benchmarking reporting solutions.
Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of goods and services produced across the economy, decreased at an annual rate of 32.9 percent in the second quarter of 2020, followed by a surged of 33.1 percent in the third quarter, in part due to earlier rounds of fiscal stimulus when businesses were offered Economic Injury Disaster Loans and forgivable Paycheck Protection Program loans, and individuals received direct payments and extended unemployment benefits.
Economic experts believe the current surge is not enough to stop continued losses incurred by various segments of economy.
“While the strong bounce back in activity from the initial devastation of COVID-19 was heartening, the recovery thus far has been highly uneven, and the path ahead is highly uncertain,” said Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard in a speech last month at the Society of Professional Economists annual online conference.
This highly uneven and uncertain bounce indicates the prospect of a K-shaped recovery, where some sectors continue to recover, while others see a steady decline.
The new stimulus package must focus on the sectors facing difficulties ahead to avoid colossal damage and massive layoffs.
According to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, approximately 4 million small businesses — 13 percent of America’s 31 million smallest employers — have now exhausted their PPP loans, and many face permanent closure without further assistance.
According to the National Restaurant Association, the restaurant industry will lose $240 billion. U.S airlines may be forced to furlough 75,000 pilots, flight attendants, mechanics and other workers by the end of 2020 if Congress doesn’t act.
States and municipalities are now on verge of extreme shortfalls due to declines in tax revenues and rises in additional costs. Local governments that fund and operate public school systems will need more funding. “The average school district will face $1.8 million, or $485 per student, in additional costs for disinfectants, personal protective equipment and other preparations to bring students into classrooms this year,” according to the Association of School Business Officials.
The Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances indicates that cash-strained households will continue to suffer as a result of continued unemployment and reduced working hours. The CARES Act did support these households either through direct payments or enhanced unemployment benefits this year, but the financial security of these households will depend on whether unemployment benefits will be extended or supplemented next year.
Therefore, it is imperative for Congress to ensure that the recovery reaches those who have been disproportionately affected. A targeted fiscal support can turn a K-shaped recovery into a broad-based, inclusive recovery to eliminate shortfalls in employment and provide a better outcome overall.
