On election night, Democratic campaign consultants may have been wondering, “Where did all these voters come from?” But unless the next Congress sets a legislative course over the next few months, Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi may soon be wondering, “Where did all the voters go?”
The incoming Biden administration will need to navigate an extremely rough economic path ahead. Congress has struggled to reach an agreement for another round of stimulus to provide emergency relief for families and businesses. Now they must act before the “dark winter” ahead further deteriorates the economic recovery.
Christopher Condo serves Application Development & Delivery (AD&D) Professionals. He is part of Forrester's AD&D coverage of DevOps tool chains, focusing on continuous integration (CI) and continuous delivery (CD) as well as software development strategies for enabling those strategies.
Previous Work Experience
Prior to his current role as an analyst, Chris was the engineering manager for the enterprise web applications team for Altran North America, where he oversaw and led the development of enterprise applications in the medical device and automated warehousing industry. Chris led a team of 10 software engineers, developed proposals, led estimation efforts, led resourcing efforts (including offshore), and also pitched in as an individual contributor. Chris has firsthand experience of developing software using agile practices and helping clients migrate to CI and CD methodologies as well as migrating to the cloud.
Prior to Altran, Chris was a senior development engineer at Microsoft for 13-plus years, working in the SaaS space starting with the Microsoft bCentral suite of online eCommerce tools targeted at small to medium businesses. Chris went on to lead software development efforts for the Office Live product suite, developing CRM and eCommerce platforms for Microsoft's growing online customer base. With Office 365, in addition to feature development, Chris worked on early tool chains that enabled global configuration and secure cloud deployments prior to their mainstream existence on the Azure platform. He also performed research and development on components to limit the impact of DOS attacks.
Before Microsoft, Chris held senior software engineering roles at FASTech, M/A-Com, and Digital Equipment Corp.
Education
Chris graduated from UMass Lowell with a B.S. in computer science. Chris is an active member of UMass Lowell Computer Science Industry Advisory Board.
Schechter is an associate attorney at Butterfield Schechter LLP in San Diego.
Mallon is Bersin’s chief storyteller. He engages directly with Bersin members and the market to bring the Bersin’s insights to life. As a 10-year veteran with the organization, and the leader of Bersin’s Research team for six years, he is one of Bersin’s most knowledgeable thought leaders in all areas of HR, talent, learning, and leadership. As a pivotal force behind Bersin’s maturity research for the past decade, he brings a unique, integrated perspective to helping organizations solve their most vexing workforce challenges – wisely and with systematic purpose. Before joining Bersin, Mallon led the consulting practice for a major LMS provider. Prior to that, he held learning and organization development-related positions with EarthLink, where he was responsible for overall learning strategy for its global call center organization. He holds a B.A. in English Literature from Emory University and an M.S. in Digital Media from the Georgia Institute of Technology with focuses on computer-aided distance learning and on storytelling in digital environments. This column first ran on the Bersin web site
Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of goods and services produced across the economy, decreased at an annual rate of 32.9 percent in the second quarter of 2020, followed by a surged of 33.1 percent in the third quarter, in part due to earlier rounds of fiscal stimulus when businesses were offered Economic Injury Disaster Loans and forgivable Paycheck Protection Program loans, and individuals received direct payments and extended unemployment benefits.
Economic experts believe the current surge is not enough to stop continued losses incurred by various segments of economy.
“While the strong bounce back in activity from the initial devastation of COVID-19 was heartening, the recovery thus far has been highly uneven, and the path ahead is highly uncertain,” said Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard in a speech last month at the Society of Professional Economists annual online conference.
This highly uneven and uncertain bounce indicates the prospect of a K-shaped recovery, where some sectors continue to recover, while others see a steady decline.
The new stimulus package must focus on the sectors facing difficulties ahead to avoid colossal damage and massive layoffs.
According to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, approximately 4 million small businesses — 13 percent of America’s 31 million smallest employers — have now exhausted their PPP loans, and many face permanent closure without further assistance.
According to the National Restaurant Association, the restaurant industry will lose $240 billion. U.S airlines may be forced to furlough 75,000 pilots, flight attendants, mechanics and other workers by the end of 2020 if Congress doesn’t act.
States and municipalities are now on verge of extreme shortfalls due to declines in tax revenues and rises in additional costs. Local governments that fund and operate public school systems will need more funding. “The average school district will face $1.8 million, or $485 per student, in additional costs for disinfectants, personal protective equipment and other preparations to bring students into classrooms this year,” according to the Association of School Business Officials.
The Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances indicates that cash-strained households will continue to suffer as a result of continued unemployment and reduced working hours. The CARES Act did support these households either through direct payments or enhanced unemployment benefits this year, but the financial security of these households will depend on whether unemployment benefits will be extended or supplemented next year.
Therefore, it is imperative for Congress to ensure that the recovery reaches those who have been disproportionately affected. A targeted fiscal support can turn a K-shaped recovery into a broad-based, inclusive recovery to eliminate shortfalls in employment and provide a better outcome overall.
