On election night, Democratic campaign consultants may have been wondering, “Where did all these voters come from?” But unless the next Congress sets a legislative course over the next few months, Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi may soon be wondering, “Where did all the voters go?”
The incoming Biden administration will need to navigate an extremely rough economic path ahead. Congress has struggled to reach an agreement for another round of stimulus to provide emergency relief for families and businesses. Now they must act before the “dark winter” ahead further deteriorates the economic recovery.
Chris Moschovitis is chief executive of tmg-emedia and co-author of “History of the Internet: 1843 to the Present.” He is working on his latest book “Cybersecurity Program Development for Business: The Essential Planning Guide,” to be published by Wiley later this year.
As special counsel, Zoe Sharp advises Board Member Lewis H. Ferguson on all matters that come before the Board for decision. Prior to becoming Special Counsel in March 2013, Ms. Sharp worked as counsel in the Division of Enforcement and Investigations. In that role, she assisted in investigation and litigation of possible violations of the PCAOB rules and other applicable securities laws and professional standards. Before joining the PCAOB in March 2012, Ms. Sharp was an assistant general counsel at Sallie Mae, Inc. She also practiced as a general litigator at Williams & Connolly LLP. Earlier, Ms. Sharp served as a law clerk to Judge Sidney H. Stein of the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York.
Lewis H. Ferguson was appointed by the Securities and Exchange Commission to be a member of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board in January 2011. In April of 2015, he began a four year term as Chair of the Global Public Policy Committee Working Group of the International Forum of Independent Audit Regulators (IFIAR). From April 2013-April 2015, he served as Chair of IFIAR following a one-year term as vice chair. From 2004 to 2007, Mr. Ferguson served as the first General Counsel of the PCAOB. Before joining the PCAOB as a Board Member, Mr. Ferguson was a partner in the law firm of Gibson Dunn & Crutcher LLP, where he focused on securities regulation, disclosure issues and corporate governance matters. Earlier from 1979 to 1994 and from 1998 to 2004, he was a partner at the law firm of Williams & Connolly LLP, specializing in corporate transactions, securities enforcement matters and representation of audit committees and boards of directors. From 1994 to 1998, he was Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Director of Wright Medical Technology. Mr. Ferguson also has been a Director at several public and private companies, primarily in the medical device and technology areas. He was an Adjunct Professor of Law at the Georgetown University Law School.
Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of goods and services produced across the economy, decreased at an annual rate of 32.9 percent in the second quarter of 2020, followed by a surged of 33.1 percent in the third quarter, in part due to earlier rounds of fiscal stimulus when businesses were offered Economic Injury Disaster Loans and forgivable Paycheck Protection Program loans, and individuals received direct payments and extended unemployment benefits.
Economic experts believe the current surge is not enough to stop continued losses incurred by various segments of economy.
“While the strong bounce back in activity from the initial devastation of COVID-19 was heartening, the recovery thus far has been highly uneven, and the path ahead is highly uncertain,” said Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard in a speech last month at the Society of Professional Economists annual online conference.
This highly uneven and uncertain bounce indicates the prospect of a K-shaped recovery, where some sectors continue to recover, while others see a steady decline.
The new stimulus package must focus on the sectors facing difficulties ahead to avoid colossal damage and massive layoffs.
According to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, approximately 4 million small businesses — 13 percent of America’s 31 million smallest employers — have now exhausted their PPP loans, and many face permanent closure without further assistance.
According to the National Restaurant Association, the restaurant industry will lose $240 billion. U.S airlines may be forced to furlough 75,000 pilots, flight attendants, mechanics and other workers by the end of 2020 if Congress doesn’t act.
States and municipalities are now on verge of extreme shortfalls due to declines in tax revenues and rises in additional costs. Local governments that fund and operate public school systems will need more funding. “The average school district will face $1.8 million, or $485 per student, in additional costs for disinfectants, personal protective equipment and other preparations to bring students into classrooms this year,” according to the Association of School Business Officials.
The Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances indicates that cash-strained households will continue to suffer as a result of continued unemployment and reduced working hours. The CARES Act did support these households either through direct payments or enhanced unemployment benefits this year, but the financial security of these households will depend on whether unemployment benefits will be extended or supplemented next year.
Therefore, it is imperative for Congress to ensure that the recovery reaches those who have been disproportionately affected. A targeted fiscal support can turn a K-shaped recovery into a broad-based, inclusive recovery to eliminate shortfalls in employment and provide a better outcome overall.
