On election night, Democratic campaign consultants may have been wondering, “Where did all these voters come from?” But unless the next Congress sets a legislative course over the next few months, Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi may soon be wondering, “Where did all the voters go?”
The incoming Biden administration will need to navigate an extremely rough economic path ahead. Congress has struggled to reach an agreement for another round of stimulus to provide emergency relief for families and businesses. Now they must act before the “dark winter” ahead further deteriorates the economic recovery.
N Shashidhar is an accomplished VP and Global Platform Head of AssistEdge with an illustrious tenure spanning more than 25 years in the software industry. Not only is he a founding member of EdgeVerve, but he also had the distinction of being a part of the vanguard team that conceptualized and established EdgeVerve as a dynamic product subsidiary of Infosys. Shashidhar's diverse experience in product and platform domains is unparalleled. Throughout his career at Infosys, he has donned various influential roles gracefully, showcasing his expertise across Technology, Client Engagement, and Functional Leadership sectors. Passionate about Strategy and Business Transformation, Shashidhar has left indelible footprints in the sands of business architecture. His remarkable contribution in transforming the Engineering Business and, later, during the nascent stages of Infosys's Products & Platforms business speaks volumes of his strategic acumen and leadership skills. As the Head of Strategy and Operations for the Edge Portfolio, he was at the helm of transforming EdgeVerve. His relentless pursuit of refining the EdgeVerve portfolio strategy has been pivotal in the organization's evolution. Academically brilliant, Shashidhar was bestowed with the University Gold Medal in Engineering. He also holds an MBA from the prestigious Indian Institute of Management, Bangalore. In the realm of software and business transformation, Shashidhar's journey and achievements stand as a beacon of inspiration and a testament to his prowess.
Drew Carrick, CPA, splits his time between New York and Los Angeles, where he consults as a content marketing strategist, as well as host and producer of a variety of video content, including CPE courses. He began his dual career as both a finance professional and an entertainer after creating an assortment of viral video content while working at Grant Thornton, and has continued to overlap these two worlds as a thought leader, actor and podcaster in his current roles.
Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of goods and services produced across the economy, decreased at an annual rate of 32.9 percent in the second quarter of 2020, followed by a surged of 33.1 percent in the third quarter, in part due to earlier rounds of fiscal stimulus when businesses were offered Economic Injury Disaster Loans and forgivable Paycheck Protection Program loans, and individuals received direct payments and extended unemployment benefits.
Economic experts believe the current surge is not enough to stop continued losses incurred by various segments of economy.
“While the strong bounce back in activity from the initial devastation of COVID-19 was heartening, the recovery thus far has been highly uneven, and the path ahead is highly uncertain,” said Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard in a speech last month at the Society of Professional Economists annual online conference.
This highly uneven and uncertain bounce indicates the prospect of a K-shaped recovery, where some sectors continue to recover, while others see a steady decline.
The new stimulus package must focus on the sectors facing difficulties ahead to avoid colossal damage and massive layoffs.
According to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, approximately 4 million small businesses — 13 percent of America’s 31 million smallest employers — have now exhausted their PPP loans, and many face permanent closure without further assistance.
According to the National Restaurant Association, the restaurant industry will lose $240 billion. U.S airlines may be forced to furlough 75,000 pilots, flight attendants, mechanics and other workers by the end of 2020 if Congress doesn’t act.
States and municipalities are now on verge of extreme shortfalls due to declines in tax revenues and rises in additional costs. Local governments that fund and operate public school systems will need more funding. “The average school district will face $1.8 million, or $485 per student, in additional costs for disinfectants, personal protective equipment and other preparations to bring students into classrooms this year,” according to the Association of School Business Officials.
The Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances indicates that cash-strained households will continue to suffer as a result of continued unemployment and reduced working hours. The CARES Act did support these households either through direct payments or enhanced unemployment benefits this year, but the financial security of these households will depend on whether unemployment benefits will be extended or supplemented next year.
Therefore, it is imperative for Congress to ensure that the recovery reaches those who have been disproportionately affected. A targeted fiscal support can turn a K-shaped recovery into a broad-based, inclusive recovery to eliminate shortfalls in employment and provide a better outcome overall.
