On election night, Democratic campaign consultants may have been wondering, “Where did all these voters come from?” But unless the next Congress sets a legislative course over the next few months, Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi may soon be wondering, “Where did all the voters go?”
The incoming Biden administration will need to navigate an extremely rough economic path ahead. Congress has struggled to reach an agreement for another round of stimulus to provide emergency relief for families and businesses. Now they must act before the “dark winter” ahead further deteriorates the economic recovery.
Founder and CEO, David Embry oversees the vision and financial performance of Mylo's business. A seasoned entrepreneur and thought leader who has led financial and insurance companies for 20+ years, he brings innovation and deep expertise to Mylo.
Roishetta Ozane is the founder of Vessel Project of Louisiana, and Gulf Fossil Finance Coordinator with the Texas Campaign for the Environment.
James Pruskowski is the CIO and co-founder of 16Rock, a full-service asset management firm specializing in Municipal Bonds. He leads the firm's flagship 16Rock Municipal Opportunities Fund LP, a long-short hedge fund, as well as the firm's long-only Separately Managed Account (SMA) client business.
Mr. Pruskowski spent nearly three decades at BlackRock starting in 1994 shortly after the firm was founded, when it had only 50 employees and $25 billion in assets under management. He was a Managing Director, Portfolio Manager, and Head of Municipal Bonds, Institutional & Wealth Management. Mr. Pruskowski was a member of the management committee and led a team of 58 investment professionals, driving strategic growth initiatives and innovation. He has a proven track record over multiple investment cycles and award-winning performance.
Before focusing on municipal bonds, Mr. Pruskowski was a multi-sector taxable fixed income portfolio manager. He was instrumental in launching BlackRock's Financial Institutions Group, which has grown into the world's leading insurance asset management business. He provided a wide array of services in balance sheet management, analytics, capital markets, and portfolio construction to banks, insurance companies, and official institutions worldwide. Mr. Pruskowski began his career in Risk & Quantitative Analytics as a risk analyst and programmer, playing a key role in the development of what is now known as BlackRock Solutions.
Mr. Pruskowski is a thought leader and content expert, known for his diverse skills, experience, and energetic, detail-oriented, and structured approach. His hands-on, can-do attitude drives results. As an industry advocate with strong brand awareness, he frequently speaks publicly, engages with the media, and collaborates with clients. He possesses a unique talent for understanding, designing, and clearly explaining markets and complex concepts in an accessible manner.
Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of goods and services produced across the economy, decreased at an annual rate of 32.9 percent in the second quarter of 2020, followed by a surged of 33.1 percent in the third quarter, in part due to earlier rounds of fiscal stimulus when businesses were offered Economic Injury Disaster Loans and forgivable Paycheck Protection Program loans, and individuals received direct payments and extended unemployment benefits.
Economic experts believe the current surge is not enough to stop continued losses incurred by various segments of economy.
“While the strong bounce back in activity from the initial devastation of COVID-19 was heartening, the recovery thus far has been highly uneven, and the path ahead is highly uncertain,” said Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard in a speech last month at the Society of Professional Economists annual online conference.
This highly uneven and uncertain bounce indicates the prospect of a K-shaped recovery, where some sectors continue to recover, while others see a steady decline.
The new stimulus package must focus on the sectors facing difficulties ahead to avoid colossal damage and massive layoffs.
According to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, approximately 4 million small businesses — 13 percent of America’s 31 million smallest employers — have now exhausted their PPP loans, and many face permanent closure without further assistance.
According to the National Restaurant Association, the restaurant industry will lose $240 billion. U.S airlines may be forced to furlough 75,000 pilots, flight attendants, mechanics and other workers by the end of 2020 if Congress doesn’t act.
States and municipalities are now on verge of extreme shortfalls due to declines in tax revenues and rises in additional costs. Local governments that fund and operate public school systems will need more funding. “The average school district will face $1.8 million, or $485 per student, in additional costs for disinfectants, personal protective equipment and other preparations to bring students into classrooms this year,” according to the Association of School Business Officials.
The Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances indicates that cash-strained households will continue to suffer as a result of continued unemployment and reduced working hours. The CARES Act did support these households either through direct payments or enhanced unemployment benefits this year, but the financial security of these households will depend on whether unemployment benefits will be extended or supplemented next year.
Therefore, it is imperative for Congress to ensure that the recovery reaches those who have been disproportionately affected. A targeted fiscal support can turn a K-shaped recovery into a broad-based, inclusive recovery to eliminate shortfalls in employment and provide a better outcome overall.
