On election night, Democratic campaign consultants may have been wondering, “Where did all these voters come from?” But unless the next Congress sets a legislative course over the next few months, Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi may soon be wondering, “Where did all the voters go?”
The incoming Biden administration will need to navigate an extremely rough economic path ahead. Congress has struggled to reach an agreement for another round of stimulus to provide emergency relief for families and businesses. Now they must act before the “dark winter” ahead further deteriorates the economic recovery.
Atul Tandon serves as CEO of Opportunity International, a Chicago-based international NGO that designs, delivers and scales innovative financial solutions to help families living in poverty build sustainable livelihoods. The NGO reached over 18 million people last year, supporting individuals and families experiencing extreme poverty in Sub-Saharan Africa, Asia, as well as Central and South America. As a global executive for Citibank, Tandon pioneered personal banking solutions in India and grew Citi's global consumer networks to more than 146 million accounts with a presence in over 100 countries.
Rafael Bernard, CFP, MSFP, is an alumnus of Kansas State's financial therapy program and Bentley University's financial planning program.
He has experience researching financial literacy, designing financial therapy-driven client activities, and leveraging experiential learning to build financial wellness curricula.
Brandon Ellison is the founder and CEO of Quility. He was born in Birmingham, Alabama and earned a Bachelor of Science degree in Accounting from the University of Alabama in 2000. Following graduation, he pursued work as a musician in Crested Butte, Colorado. In 2001, upon moving to Asheville, North Carolina, he acquired his insurance license and established a career as a life insurance agent. In 2002, Mr. Ellison met Casey Watkins while they were working as agents for the same company; the two established a friendship as well as a healthy rivalry that drove them both to grow into two of the top managers in that company.
Through their experience as insurance agents, they recognized an opportunity to elevate the industry's business model by reshaping the relationship between agents and their respectful uplines. Founded in their belief that what benefits individuals will ultimately benefit the whole, they envisioned a model in which the wellbeing, growth and financial success of agents would take the forefront. They launched Symmetry Financial Group in 2009 to translate their vision into reality, and in the 12 years since have transformed Symmetry into the modernization of the new company, Quility, with a revenue hitting over $70 million.
Ellison still enjoys playing the guitar. He also loves long hikes in the beautiful Blue Ridge Mountains with his wife, Meredith. They have three children, Addie Ruth, Levi and Woods, that keep their home and calendars full and abundant.
Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of goods and services produced across the economy, decreased at an annual rate of 32.9 percent in the second quarter of 2020, followed by a surged of 33.1 percent in the third quarter, in part due to earlier rounds of fiscal stimulus when businesses were offered Economic Injury Disaster Loans and forgivable Paycheck Protection Program loans, and individuals received direct payments and extended unemployment benefits.
Economic experts believe the current surge is not enough to stop continued losses incurred by various segments of economy.
“While the strong bounce back in activity from the initial devastation of COVID-19 was heartening, the recovery thus far has been highly uneven, and the path ahead is highly uncertain,” said Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard in a speech last month at the Society of Professional Economists annual online conference.
This highly uneven and uncertain bounce indicates the prospect of a K-shaped recovery, where some sectors continue to recover, while others see a steady decline.
The new stimulus package must focus on the sectors facing difficulties ahead to avoid colossal damage and massive layoffs.
According to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, approximately 4 million small businesses — 13 percent of America’s 31 million smallest employers — have now exhausted their PPP loans, and many face permanent closure without further assistance.
According to the National Restaurant Association, the restaurant industry will lose $240 billion. U.S airlines may be forced to furlough 75,000 pilots, flight attendants, mechanics and other workers by the end of 2020 if Congress doesn’t act.
States and municipalities are now on verge of extreme shortfalls due to declines in tax revenues and rises in additional costs. Local governments that fund and operate public school systems will need more funding. “The average school district will face $1.8 million, or $485 per student, in additional costs for disinfectants, personal protective equipment and other preparations to bring students into classrooms this year,” according to the Association of School Business Officials.
The Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances indicates that cash-strained households will continue to suffer as a result of continued unemployment and reduced working hours. The CARES Act did support these households either through direct payments or enhanced unemployment benefits this year, but the financial security of these households will depend on whether unemployment benefits will be extended or supplemented next year.
Therefore, it is imperative for Congress to ensure that the recovery reaches those who have been disproportionately affected. A targeted fiscal support can turn a K-shaped recovery into a broad-based, inclusive recovery to eliminate shortfalls in employment and provide a better outcome overall.
