On election night, Democratic campaign consultants may have been wondering, “Where did all these voters come from?” But unless the next Congress sets a legislative course over the next few months, Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi may soon be wondering, “Where did all the voters go?”
The incoming Biden administration will need to navigate an extremely rough economic path ahead. Congress has struggled to reach an agreement for another round of stimulus to provide emergency relief for families and businesses. Now they must act before the “dark winter” ahead further deteriorates the economic recovery.
Diwas KC is a professor at Emory University's Goizueta Business School, where his research focuses on healthcare delivery and pricing. He has been analyzing CMS-mandated hospital pricing data to build procedure-level benchmarks for the Georgia commercial market. Data source for article: CMS-mandated hospital machine-readable files (2026), Georgia hospitals, commercial payer rates. Facility fees only — excludes physician and anesthesia fees.
Larry Cao, CFA, is Senior Market Intelligence Analyst, AI, at American Banker, where he focuses on the adoptions of artificial intelligence across banking and financial services.
Larry has more than two decades of experience in investment research and financial services, with a particular focus on AS adoption, data-driven investment processes, and the future of finance. He previously served as a senior research leader at CFA Institute, where he led and authored research on AI, big data, fintech, investment management, and evolving skillsets in the financial industry. He is the editor of Handbook of Artificial Intelligence and Big Data Applications in Investments and author of research on AI adoption and T-shaped teams.
Larry's research and commentary have been cited by regulators and industry organizations globally, and featured in major media outlets including Bloomberg, the Financial Times, The Wall Street Journal, and Reuters. Earlier in his career, he held roles at Morningstar/Ibbotson Associates, Munder Capital Management, and McKinsey & Company.
Larry holds an MBA in finance from the University of Notre Dame.
Some of Larry's publications include:
Books and reports
Ten Structural Shifts in AI Adoption: Evidence, Frameworks, and Emerging Frontiers (2018 -2025) - Handbook of Artificial Intelligence and Big Data in Investments
- T-Shaped Teams
- AI Pioneers in Investment Management
- Multi-Asset Strategies: The Future of Investment Management
Interviews/presentations (video)
Dave Maney is the CEO of The Expert Press, which helps companies conceive, create, and nationally publish high-authority thought leadership pieces. Generative AI is changing how prospects discover and evaluate expertise, as AI increasingly builds vendor shortlists before buyers ever visit a website. In this article, Dave argues why firms must shift from producing high volumes of marketing content to creating citation-worthy, third-party validated expertise that AI can surface. He also outlines the practical changes necessary to remain visible, credible, and discoverable in an AI-first buying environment.
Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of goods and services produced across the economy, decreased at an annual rate of 32.9 percent in the second quarter of 2020, followed by a surged of 33.1 percent in the third quarter, in part due to earlier rounds of fiscal stimulus when businesses were offered Economic Injury Disaster Loans and forgivable Paycheck Protection Program loans, and individuals received direct payments and extended unemployment benefits.
Economic experts believe the current surge is not enough to stop continued losses incurred by various segments of economy.
“While the strong bounce back in activity from the initial devastation of COVID-19 was heartening, the recovery thus far has been highly uneven, and the path ahead is highly uncertain,” said Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard in a speech last month at the Society of Professional Economists annual online conference.
This highly uneven and uncertain bounce indicates the prospect of a K-shaped recovery, where some sectors continue to recover, while others see a steady decline.
The new stimulus package must focus on the sectors facing difficulties ahead to avoid colossal damage and massive layoffs.
According to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, approximately 4 million small businesses — 13 percent of America’s 31 million smallest employers — have now exhausted their PPP loans, and many face permanent closure without further assistance.
According to the National Restaurant Association, the restaurant industry will lose $240 billion. U.S airlines may be forced to furlough 75,000 pilots, flight attendants, mechanics and other workers by the end of 2020 if Congress doesn’t act.
States and municipalities are now on verge of extreme shortfalls due to declines in tax revenues and rises in additional costs. Local governments that fund and operate public school systems will need more funding. “The average school district will face $1.8 million, or $485 per student, in additional costs for disinfectants, personal protective equipment and other preparations to bring students into classrooms this year,” according to the Association of School Business Officials.
The Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances indicates that cash-strained households will continue to suffer as a result of continued unemployment and reduced working hours. The CARES Act did support these households either through direct payments or enhanced unemployment benefits this year, but the financial security of these households will depend on whether unemployment benefits will be extended or supplemented next year.
Therefore, it is imperative for Congress to ensure that the recovery reaches those who have been disproportionately affected. A targeted fiscal support can turn a K-shaped recovery into a broad-based, inclusive recovery to eliminate shortfalls in employment and provide a better outcome overall.
