On election night, Democratic campaign consultants may have been wondering, “Where did all these voters come from?” But unless the next Congress sets a legislative course over the next few months, Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi may soon be wondering, “Where did all the voters go?”
The incoming Biden administration will need to navigate an extremely rough economic path ahead. Congress has struggled to reach an agreement for another round of stimulus to provide emergency relief for families and businesses. Now they must act before the “dark winter” ahead further deteriorates the economic recovery.
Craig Walker is Head of Product Strategy at Digits, where he's helping to reimagine accounting in the age of AI. A seasoned industry leader, Craig was co-founder and founding CTO for online accounting and small business software, Xero. Craig is bringing that experience to building the next generation of accounting software in Digits.
Dr. David A. Wood is passionate about understanding new technologies and implementing them into the curriculum of Brigham Young University, where he works as the Glenn D. Ardis professor of accounting. He has published over 200 articles in a combination of respected academic and practitioner journals, monographs, books, and cases, including a recently released book on AI titled, "Rewiring your Mind for AI: How to Think, Work, and Thrive in the Age of Intelligence". He has helped companies and organizations around the world learn about and implement GenAI and other tech topics. He was previously named by Accounting Today as one of the 100 most influential people in accounting. He is a cocreator of a free generative AI governance framework (see http://genai.global/), and of two companies related to GenAI training and reviewing Excel workpapers (http://skillabyte.com/ and https://hiddenhawkai.com/).
Dr. Becca Baaske is an Assistant Professor of Accounting in the Sykes College of Business at the University of Tampa. She brings practical experience from both public accounting, having worked as an auditor at PwC Chicago, and corporate accounting, where she served as staff at the former John Marshall Law School. Her research primarily contributes to the auditing and accounting information systems (AIS) judgment and decision-making literature, with a focus on experimental methodology. Specifically, much of her work examines how auditors may overlook risks or audit issues due to insufficient skill sets related to data or limitations in skeptical cognitive processing. Additionally, she contributes to the accounting education literature, exploring topics such as motivation, learning, and initiatives aimed at strengthening the accounting pipeline. She has published in academic journals such as Auditing: A Journal of Practice & Theory, Journal of Information Systems, and Accounting Horizons.
Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of goods and services produced across the economy, decreased at an annual rate of 32.9 percent in the second quarter of 2020, followed by a surged of 33.1 percent in the third quarter, in part due to earlier rounds of fiscal stimulus when businesses were offered Economic Injury Disaster Loans and forgivable Paycheck Protection Program loans, and individuals received direct payments and extended unemployment benefits.
Economic experts believe the current surge is not enough to stop continued losses incurred by various segments of economy.
“While the strong bounce back in activity from the initial devastation of COVID-19 was heartening, the recovery thus far has been highly uneven, and the path ahead is highly uncertain,” said Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard in a speech last month at the Society of Professional Economists annual online conference.
This highly uneven and uncertain bounce indicates the prospect of a K-shaped recovery, where some sectors continue to recover, while others see a steady decline.
The new stimulus package must focus on the sectors facing difficulties ahead to avoid colossal damage and massive layoffs.
According to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, approximately 4 million small businesses — 13 percent of America’s 31 million smallest employers — have now exhausted their PPP loans, and many face permanent closure without further assistance.
According to the National Restaurant Association, the restaurant industry will lose $240 billion. U.S airlines may be forced to furlough 75,000 pilots, flight attendants, mechanics and other workers by the end of 2020 if Congress doesn’t act.
States and municipalities are now on verge of extreme shortfalls due to declines in tax revenues and rises in additional costs. Local governments that fund and operate public school systems will need more funding. “The average school district will face $1.8 million, or $485 per student, in additional costs for disinfectants, personal protective equipment and other preparations to bring students into classrooms this year,” according to the Association of School Business Officials.
The Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances indicates that cash-strained households will continue to suffer as a result of continued unemployment and reduced working hours. The CARES Act did support these households either through direct payments or enhanced unemployment benefits this year, but the financial security of these households will depend on whether unemployment benefits will be extended or supplemented next year.
Therefore, it is imperative for Congress to ensure that the recovery reaches those who have been disproportionately affected. A targeted fiscal support can turn a K-shaped recovery into a broad-based, inclusive recovery to eliminate shortfalls in employment and provide a better outcome overall.
