U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Rachel Schwab is director of product at FP Alpha. Previously, she served as product manager, advice technology at Vanguard.
Dan Astrachan is CEO of Bridgepoint Alliance, an accounting and advisory platform built to help entrepreneurial firms grow while preserving their team, culture, client relationships, and local identity. Bridgepoint launched in partnership with CRR Advisors, a Massachusetts-based accounting and advisory firm that has served business owners, executives, and individuals for over 30 years.
Georgina Bulkeley serves as a Managing Director of Global Financial Services and an Industry Leader at Google Cloud. In her role, Georgina works with Banking, Insurance and Capital Markets clients around the world and regularly acts as a spokesperson for Google Cloud.
Georgina brings more than 24 years of experience in the Financial Services Industry. She most recently served as the Chief Operating Officer at NatWest Retail Bank, having previously been the Director of Risk and Compliance and the Head of Financial Strategy. While at NatWest she delivered a number of award-winning Banking innovations in the areas of Voice Banking and Biometric Debit and Credit cards. Prior to NatWest, Georgina was the Director of Structured Finance at Standard Life Investments and she started her career at Goldman Sachs in the Investment Banking and Capital Markets Divisions. She has also served as a Board Member at both FreeAgent, the award-winning Cloud based SME accounting platform and the Edinburgh Sculpture Workshop.
Georgina holds an LLB in Law from Durham University and Diplomas from Oxford University, London Business School and Singularity University in Silicon Valley. She is also a Fellow of the Salzburg Global Finance Forum, an Associate at the Edinburgh Futures Institute and a mentor on the FTSE100 Mentoring Foundation Executive Programme.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.