U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Liza Primzharova, MSA, is a finance and accounting researcher based in Seattle, WA. She is an MBA candidate at Trine University and holds a Master of Science in Accounting from the University of Washington. Her peer-reviewed research on AI in accounting automation was published in Putevoditel Predprinimatelya (2026). She can be reached at lizaprimzhar@gmail.com.
Kiley Lambert is a veteran content strategist and producer who leads editorial efforts across several American Banker live media programs. Prior to joining Arizent, he worked as a coordinating producer at CNBC Events and was an original member of the Bloomberg Live editorial team, where he was instrumental in launching several of the group's top event franchises. A graduate of Columbia University's School of General Studies, Lambert began his career in film and television, before landing his first events job as a producer of the annual PopTech Conference in Camden, Maine.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.