The next stimulus should aim for a broad-based, inclusive recovery

Economic experts believe the current surge is not enough to stop continued losses incurred by various segments of economy.

On election night, Democratic campaign consultants may have been wondering, “Where did all these voters come from?” But unless the next Congress sets a legislative course over the next few months, Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi may soon be wondering, “Where did all the voters go?”

The incoming Biden administration will need to navigate an extremely rough economic path ahead. Congress has struggled to reach an agreement for another round of stimulus to provide emergency relief for families and businesses. Now they must act before the “dark winter” ahead further deteriorates the economic recovery.

CORONAVIRUS IMPACT: ADDITIONAL COVERAGE

Scott Beeman joined Aflac as senior vice president; president of Premier Life, Absence and Disability Solutions (PLADS) in 2020, responsible for leading all aspects of Aflac’s PLADS business. With more than 20 years of leadership experience in the insurance and health care industry, Scott is a visionary with a proven track record of channeling his passion and creativity not only into driving revenue and profitable growth, but also into instituting scalable and sustainable infrastructures and leading the pace and progress of restructurings, product development, and organizational change management programs to realize growth and create new value.

Prior to joining Aflac, Scott was president and chief operating officer of Benefit Harbor Insurance Services, LLC. He also previously served as head of Business Strategy, Operations and IT for the Life, Disability and Absence Management program at Zurich, responsible for the creation of the overall strategic value proposition and execution of its life insurance and disability operations with emphasis on the growth of the group life insurance business. Prior to joining Zurich, Scott held numerous leadership positions with Aetna, including head of Life and Long Term Care Businesses and chief executive officer of Aetna Workforce Availability, where he successfully demonstrated the ability to launch and exponentially grow both new and well established businesses. Prior to joining Aetna, Scott held positions of increasing responsibility in various sectors of the health care industry. He previously co-founded his own company, specializing in Internet-based information systems for the high-tech medical equipment sector, which he successfully negotiated for sale in 2001.

Within his local community, Scott serves on the board of The Cove Center for Grieving Children. He holds a Bachelor of Science in health policy and management from Providence College in Rhode Island and earned a certificate of professional development in executive leadership from The Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania.

Marla Willner, head of commercial credit management and strategic initiatives, TD Bank

Marla Willner is the head of commercial credit management and strategic Initiatives for TD Bank. She is also executive sponsor of the bank's Women in Leadership Employee Group.

Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of goods and services produced across the economy, decreased at an annual rate of 32.9 percent in the second quarter of 2020, followed by a surged of 33.1 percent in the third quarter, in part due to earlier rounds of fiscal stimulus when businesses were offered Economic Injury Disaster Loans and forgivable Paycheck Protection Program loans, and individuals received direct payments and extended unemployment benefits.

Economic experts believe the current surge is not enough to stop continued losses incurred by various segments of economy.

“While the strong bounce back in activity from the initial devastation of COVID-19 was heartening, the recovery thus far has been highly uneven, and the path ahead is highly uncertain,” said Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard in a speech last month at the Society of Professional Economists annual online conference.

This highly uneven and uncertain bounce indicates the prospect of a K-shaped recovery, where some sectors continue to recover, while others see a steady decline.

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The new stimulus package must focus on the sectors facing difficulties ahead to avoid colossal damage and massive layoffs.

According to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, approximately 4 million small businesses — 13 percent of America’s 31 million smallest employers — have now exhausted their PPP loans, and many face permanent closure without further assistance.

According to the National Restaurant Association, the restaurant industry will lose $240 billion. U.S airlines may be forced to furlough 75,000 pilots, flight attendants, mechanics and other workers by the end of 2020 if Congress doesn’t act.

States and municipalities are now on verge of extreme shortfalls due to declines in tax revenues and rises in additional costs. Local governments that fund and operate public school systems will need more funding. “The average school district will face $1.8 million, or $485 per student, in additional costs for disinfectants, personal protective equipment and other preparations to bring students into classrooms this year,” according to the Association of School Business Officials.

The Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances indicates that cash-strained households will continue to suffer as a result of continued unemployment and reduced working hours. The CARES Act did support these households either through direct payments or enhanced unemployment benefits this year, but the financial security of these households will depend on whether unemployment benefits will be extended or supplemented next year.

Therefore, it is imperative for Congress to ensure that the recovery reaches those who have been disproportionately affected. A targeted fiscal support can turn a K-shaped recovery into a broad-based, inclusive recovery to eliminate shortfalls in employment and provide a better outcome overall.

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