On election night, Democratic campaign consultants may have been wondering, “Where did all these voters come from?” But unless the next Congress sets a legislative course over the next few months, Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi may soon be wondering, “Where did all the voters go?”
The incoming Biden administration will need to navigate an extremely rough economic path ahead. Congress has struggled to reach an agreement for another round of stimulus to provide emergency relief for families and businesses. Now they must act before the “dark winter” ahead further deteriorates the economic recovery.
Sasha Leonhardt and Jon Langlois are partners and David McGee is a law clerk at Buckley LLP where they represent bank and nonbank mortgage originators, mortgage servicers, and secondary market purchasers in regulatory compliance, transactional, and enforcement matters.
Jeff is the Chief Innovation Officer at Transcarent, leading our efforts to design novel products and partnerships supporting our end-to-end Member support services. His interests span from furthering evidence-based health initiatives to innovative opportunities that deliver trusted, simple, seamless and connected solutions that drive value for our clients, Members and the providers themselves.
Prior to joining Transcarent, Jeff was the Health Strategy and Innovation Leader at Mercer Consulting. He was the Chief Medical Officer at One Medical, designing their innovative model of care and was responsible for the company’s B2B strategy. Jeff has also served as the Chief Medical Officer at RedBrick health where he was responsible for the company’s clinical programs (wellbeing, disease management, medication therapy management). Jeff led design, development and ongoing operations of the clinical and coaching programs as well as leading outcomes research for a range of population health programs.
Previously, he was a partner at Willis Towers Watson, where he was responsible for employer based health management programs, employer-provider contracting and onsite/near site clinics. He has operated a national group of 58 primary care medical practices, was Chief Medical Officer of an early ACO management firm and was an analyst at a hedge fund.
Jeff is a board-certified internist and rheumatologist and an Associate Professor at NYU School of Medicine.
Stephen Graziano is the director of channel sales at Flimp Communications. Prior to joining Flimp, Stephen spent most of his career working in the insurance consulting space, specifically in the voluntary insurance and benefits communication arenas. He is passionate about helping employees and employers have a better experience with their benefits through better understanding, higher engagement, and cost savings for both parties.
Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of goods and services produced across the economy, decreased at an annual rate of 32.9 percent in the second quarter of 2020, followed by a surged of 33.1 percent in the third quarter, in part due to earlier rounds of fiscal stimulus when businesses were offered Economic Injury Disaster Loans and forgivable Paycheck Protection Program loans, and individuals received direct payments and extended unemployment benefits.
Economic experts believe the current surge is not enough to stop continued losses incurred by various segments of economy.
“While the strong bounce back in activity from the initial devastation of COVID-19 was heartening, the recovery thus far has been highly uneven, and the path ahead is highly uncertain,” said Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard in a speech last month at the Society of Professional Economists annual online conference.
This highly uneven and uncertain bounce indicates the prospect of a K-shaped recovery, where some sectors continue to recover, while others see a steady decline.
The new stimulus package must focus on the sectors facing difficulties ahead to avoid colossal damage and massive layoffs.
According to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, approximately 4 million small businesses — 13 percent of America’s 31 million smallest employers — have now exhausted their PPP loans, and many face permanent closure without further assistance.
According to the National Restaurant Association, the restaurant industry will lose $240 billion. U.S airlines may be forced to furlough 75,000 pilots, flight attendants, mechanics and other workers by the end of 2020 if Congress doesn’t act.
States and municipalities are now on verge of extreme shortfalls due to declines in tax revenues and rises in additional costs. Local governments that fund and operate public school systems will need more funding. “The average school district will face $1.8 million, or $485 per student, in additional costs for disinfectants, personal protective equipment and other preparations to bring students into classrooms this year,” according to the Association of School Business Officials.
The Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances indicates that cash-strained households will continue to suffer as a result of continued unemployment and reduced working hours. The CARES Act did support these households either through direct payments or enhanced unemployment benefits this year, but the financial security of these households will depend on whether unemployment benefits will be extended or supplemented next year.
Therefore, it is imperative for Congress to ensure that the recovery reaches those who have been disproportionately affected. A targeted fiscal support can turn a K-shaped recovery into a broad-based, inclusive recovery to eliminate shortfalls in employment and provide a better outcome overall.
