On election night, Democratic campaign consultants may have been wondering, “Where did all these voters come from?” But unless the next Congress sets a legislative course over the next few months, Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi may soon be wondering, “Where did all the voters go?”
The incoming Biden administration will need to navigate an extremely rough economic path ahead. Congress has struggled to reach an agreement for another round of stimulus to provide emergency relief for families and businesses. Now they must act before the “dark winter” ahead further deteriorates the economic recovery.
Jessica Tuman is vice president of the Voya Cares Center of Excellence at Voya Financial. Voya Cares provides training and resources to help its staff and external stakeholders understand, employ and better serve those with special needs and disabilities and their caregivers to achieve the quality of life they seek today and through retirement. Learn more at voyacares.com. And, check out one of Voya’s recent ad campaigns, titled Growing Up, which features a family with special needs in three periods during the course of a lifetime.
Leslie C. Egiziano, MBA, SHRM-SCP, SPHR, is a human resources consultant at Paychex HR Services. She has over 15 years of experience working with Paychex clients in HR Solutions. She came to the company with a diverse work history which helps her connect with a variety of clients. She’s done everything from sales and marketing to establishing an HR department and hiring over 400 staff in a year and a half for a tech startup company — all while continuing her education and certification programs.
Mitch Ocampo is Managing Director and Head of Innovation for RGAX Americas. As the transformation engine of Reinsurance Group of America, Incorporated (RGA) he is focused both on the innovation strategy of RGAX Americas and expanding its capabilities in emerging solutions to better serve clients and solve large-scale industry challenges.
An experienced technology executive, Mitch’s work over the past two decades has taken him to the cutting edge of reinsurance and financial services innovation technology. Since 2015, his primary focus has been insurtech: starting in 2015, he was Chief Technology Officer for reinsurance technology specialist TAI (Tindall Associates), and then, after TAI’s acquisition by LOGiQ3, was Group Chief Technology Officer for LOGiQ3’s companies, which include TAI, APEXA, and Cookhouse Lab. LOGiQ3 was acquired by RGAX in 2017.
Previously, Mitch spent four years as Managing Director, Strategic Industries, Americas, for msg global solutions, a global strategic consulting and intelligent IT solutions specialist. Before then, he was Partner and Managing Director of Kogent Corporation, which builds custom business intelligence, data warehousing and analytics solutions for clients. He has also worked in data solutions and software development/engineering roles for a variety of companies including IBM, EMC, and Thomson Reuters.
Mitch’s Bachelor of Arts (B.A.) is from the University of New Hampshire in Durham, N.H. (U.S.), and holds a dual-degree joint M.B.A. in international business from Brown University, Providence, R.I. (U.S.) and IE Business School, Madrid, Spain.
An active member of the global innovation community, he serves on the advisory board of numerous startups and is a mentor, coach, and advisor to Brown University’s B-Lab accelerator, supporting entrepreneurs developing high impact ventures.
Gross domestic product, the broadest measure of goods and services produced across the economy, decreased at an annual rate of 32.9 percent in the second quarter of 2020, followed by a surged of 33.1 percent in the third quarter, in part due to earlier rounds of fiscal stimulus when businesses were offered Economic Injury Disaster Loans and forgivable Paycheck Protection Program loans, and individuals received direct payments and extended unemployment benefits.
Economic experts believe the current surge is not enough to stop continued losses incurred by various segments of economy.
“While the strong bounce back in activity from the initial devastation of COVID-19 was heartening, the recovery thus far has been highly uneven, and the path ahead is highly uncertain,” said Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard in a speech last month at the Society of Professional Economists annual online conference.
This highly uneven and uncertain bounce indicates the prospect of a K-shaped recovery, where some sectors continue to recover, while others see a steady decline.
The new stimulus package must focus on the sectors facing difficulties ahead to avoid colossal damage and massive layoffs.
According to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, approximately 4 million small businesses — 13 percent of America’s 31 million smallest employers — have now exhausted their PPP loans, and many face permanent closure without further assistance.
According to the National Restaurant Association, the restaurant industry will lose $240 billion. U.S airlines may be forced to furlough 75,000 pilots, flight attendants, mechanics and other workers by the end of 2020 if Congress doesn’t act.
States and municipalities are now on verge of extreme shortfalls due to declines in tax revenues and rises in additional costs. Local governments that fund and operate public school systems will need more funding. “The average school district will face $1.8 million, or $485 per student, in additional costs for disinfectants, personal protective equipment and other preparations to bring students into classrooms this year,” according to the Association of School Business Officials.
The Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances indicates that cash-strained households will continue to suffer as a result of continued unemployment and reduced working hours. The CARES Act did support these households either through direct payments or enhanced unemployment benefits this year, but the financial security of these households will depend on whether unemployment benefits will be extended or supplemented next year.
Therefore, it is imperative for Congress to ensure that the recovery reaches those who have been disproportionately affected. A targeted fiscal support can turn a K-shaped recovery into a broad-based, inclusive recovery to eliminate shortfalls in employment and provide a better outcome overall.
